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	<title>The 23x blog &#187; predictions</title>
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		<title>My boring predictions for 2010</title>
		<link>http://blog.23x.net/277/my-boring-predictions-for-2010.html</link>
		<comments>http://blog.23x.net/277/my-boring-predictions-for-2010.html#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 31 Dec 2009 14:34:21 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Jared Earle</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[geek]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[2010]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[predictions]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blog.23x.net/?p=277</guid>
		<description><![CDATA["More of the same, only faster." - get ready for the most boring tech predictions for 2010.]]></description>
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<p>It seems this time of year, everyone posts their predictions on what will happen in the world of technology during the next year. As I&#8217;m quite fond of technology, I thought that I should finally nail my colours to this blog&#8217;s masthead and swing out on a limb for the benefit of both my readers. I&#8217;ll also cover a few non-technology points, for fun, so strap in and prepare for the most boring predictions you&#8217;ll read this year, or what&#8217;s left of it.</p>
<p><strong>More of the same, only faster.</strong></p>
<p>Every year, since 1998, I&#8217;ve made this very same prediction in one form or another. It&#8217;s <a href="http://twitter.com/antoniojl/status/7231928013" target="_blank">not a risky proposal</a>, I&#8217;ll be honest, but I&#8217;ve never been wrong.</p>
<div id="attachment_282" class="wp-caption aligncenter" style="width: 586px"><a href="http://blog.23x.net/wp-content/uploads/2009/12/mooreslaw.jpg"><img class="size-medium wp-image-282   " title="moores law" src="http://blog.23x.net/wp-content/uploads/2009/12/mooreslaw-576x505.jpg" alt="" width="576" height="505" /></a><p class="wp-caption-text">Moore&#39;s Law, courtesy of Wikipedia</p></div>
<p><span id="more-277"></span></p>
<p>And yes, if not faster it&#8217;ll be smaller and/or cheaper. Or maybe all three.</p>
<p><strong>No important tech company is going to die at the hands of its rivals.</strong></p>
<p>Google won&#8217;t kill Microsoft, Apple won&#8217;t kill Nokia, the Droid won&#8217;t kill the iPhone. Even in this economy, the big boys aren&#8217;t even close to death. However, this won&#8217;t stop the blogosphere harping on about it, over and over again.</p>
<p><strong>Tech writers will still be playing it loose and fast over a </strong><a href="http://www.technovia.co.uk/2009/12/2009-the-year-tech-blogging-died.html" target="_blank"><strong>zero-sum game</strong></a><strong>. </strong></p>
<p>Most bloggers won&#8217;t learn and they&#8217;ll continue to take sides and pretend to be journalists while taking on none of the responsibilities journalists have. Some may even shill for large corporations, not that I&#8217;m saying who, of course, or that it&#8217;s even happening now. It is, though, although TechCrunch will deny it &#8211; not that I&#8217;m naming names, of course.</p>
<p><strong>Apple will release something; the technology reporters will say it&#8217;ll fail.</strong></p>
<p>It <a href="http://apple.slashdot.org/article.pl?sid=01/10/23/1816257" target="_blank">won&#8217;t</a>.</p>
<p><strong>Enderle will be <a href="http://daringfireball.net/2007/01/enderle_leg_pulling" target="_blank">a dick</a>.</strong></p>
<p>Ok, no brainer here.</p>
<p><strong>Still no flying car.</strong></p>
<p>I&#8217;m not going to predict that there won&#8217;t be an Apple Tablet, but there won&#8217;t be a flying car, there won&#8217;t be a new renewable fuel made available to the masses and electric motorbikes won&#8217;t take over the streets just yet. There also won&#8217;t be a new, unexpected technology explosion, no matter how much I want there to be.</p>
<p><strong>A celebrity will die. It will make some people sad.</strong></p>
<p>I&#8217;m not foolish enough to predict who, but I&#8217;m hoping for Margaret Thatcher. Yeah, you can hate me in the comments, if you want.</p>
<p><strong>I will be wrong in one of my predictions.</strong></p>
<p>I&#8217;m hoping it&#8217;ll be this one.</p>
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